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Fundamental Analysis

PBOC’s gold purchases – a signaling function for the markets?

Official data for May showed that the Chinese Central Bank continued to diversify its portfolio of assets, reducing investments in US government bonds and increasing physical volumes of gold. This...

As US labor market gets stronger, Fed face more challenges

US job growth exceeded expectations, NFP report data showed on Friday. The figure was 224K, which is significantly higher than the consensus of 160K jobs and more than three times the value for the...

Key economic events and reports of the upcoming week

Tuesday, July 9, 2019 - JOLTs Job Openings (May)(USD), RBNZ Gov Orr Speaks (NZD).Wednesday, July 10, 2019 - GDP (MoM)(GBP), Manufacturing Production (MoM) (May)(GBP), BoC Monetary Policy Report (CAD),...

NFP preview: aiming for a strong comeback, in order to increase chances for extension of Fed’s “pause”

After the slight job growth in May of just 75K, investors believe that US labor market will utilize its unexploited potential in June, gaining 160K jobs. At the last meeting, Powell hinted that Fed...

China’s “final touch” in the gloomy picture of global manufacturing PMIs

Stock markets in Asia extended losses on Wednesday, as it seems that the buoyancy related to G-20 trade truce is giving way to concerns about new tariffs against the EU and the global deterioration in...

Manufacturing slows global growth, hit by trade war and weak oil price mix

Global index of activity in the manufacturing sector, calculated by JP Morgan, shows the worst performance in 6.5 years as the gauge has been in the downward trend since early 2018, diving into...

More than simply a trade truce

The signs of softening stance of the White House in talks with China before the two leaders met at the G-20 summit (Trump’s phone call to Xi, reports about “extended ” meeting), to the general...

Yet another example of news trading “fiasco”.

Algo trader and investor sensitivity to the trade war headlines should have increased before the Trump-Xi meeting in Japan. This is because, not only the number of mentions has risen, but their...

The Fed is resisting political pressure, but US economy is calling for lower rates

Tuesday’s meeting with Fed Chair, Powell, was dedicated to economic forecasts and monetary policy. Taking place at a very necessary time, the Fed had the opportunity to trace the dynamics of...